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Solana Deleveraging Persists Amidst Broader Market Weakness

Solana experienced significant price depreciation and underperformance against Bitcoin, accompanied by a notable reduction in leveraged exposure and persistent negative sentiment across the broader crypto market. The internal dynamics of the pair suggest a period of re-evaluation by market participants.

Solana Price Action and Volatility

Solana's market regime for the week was defined by significant price contraction and elevated volatility. The asset declined by 16.29% over the past seven days and 28.47% over the last 30 days, trading at $66.84, which represents a 77.21% drawdown from its all-time high. Realized volatility over the past seven days stood at 74.02%, notably above its 90-day baseline of 54.43%, indicating heightened price fluctuations. Against Bitcoin, Solana showed sustained underperformance, with its ratio decreasing from 0.001112 to 0.001046 over the week, resulting in a 4.96% relative decline. This underperformance extends to the 30-day period, where it also recorded a 4.95% relative decrease. The 30-day correlation with Bitcoin was 0.8613, slightly below its 90-day baseline of 0.8808, while its 30-day Beta against Bitcoin was 1.243, suggesting an amplified response to Bitcoin's movements.

Solana 90-day price and volume chart — Solana deleveraging
Solana (SOL) — 90-day daily price and volume chart | copytradia.com

Metric

Value

SOL Price

$66.84 (+2.57% 24h / -16.29% 7d / -28.47% 30d)

Volume 24h

$3.31B

Native Quote Vol. 24h

$51.2M

Market Cap

$38.74B

Market Cap Rank

7

Circulating Supply

579.42M SOL

ATH Distance

77.21% below ATH

Metric

Value

SOL/BTC Ratio

0.001046

Relative Perf. 7d vs BTC

-4.96%

Relative Perf. 30d vs BTC

-4.95%

Solana Deleveraging and Speculative Positioning

Speculative positioning for Solana indicates a clear trend of deleveraging. Total Open Interest decreased by 14.65% over the past week, falling to $0.667 billion, which is below its 90-day baseline of $0.819 billion, reflecting a contraction in leveraged participation. This period of Solana deleveraging is further evidenced by current funding rates, which are negative at -0.022946%, with a cumulative 7-day rate of -0.101225%. The 30-day funding Z-score of -1.6540 suggests that funding rates are significantly below their 30-day average, reflecting a strong bearish bias in derivatives markets. Long liquidations dominated the past week, accounting for 77.5% of the total $266.9 million in liquidations, with $206.8 million in long positions closed. This pattern is consistent with the 30-day average, where long liquidations made up 74.0% of the total, indicating a persistent directional skew towards long deleveraging.

Solana 6-month price and volume chart — Solana deleveraging
Solana (SOL) — 6-month daily price and volume chart | copytradia.com

Metric

Value

Funding Rate (current)

-0.0229%

Funding Cumul. 7d

-0.1012%

Open Interest

$0.67B (-14.65% 7d)

Liq. 24h Longs

$1M

Liq. 24h Shorts

$1M

Liq. 7d Longs

$207M

Liq. 7d Shorts

$60M

Metric

Value

Realized Vol 7d

+74.02% (90d avg: +54.43%)

Realized Vol 30d

+57.53%

Corr. BTC 30d

0.8613 (90d avg: 0.8808)

Beta vs BTC

1.2430

Volume Momentum

0.6462x

Funding Z-Score 30d

-1.65σ

Turnover Ratio

0.0855

Liq. Intensity

0.00689

Monitoring Conditions for Solana

Monitoring conditions for the upcoming week include observing whether Solana's relative underperformance against Bitcoin continues, particularly if its 30-day correlation and beta dynamics shift from their current levels. The evolution of Open Interest and funding rates will be crucial; a sustained decline in Open Interest alongside deeply negative funding could signal further deleveraging pressure, while a stabilization or reversal might indicate a shift in speculative sentiment. Externally, the upcoming macro calendar, featuring Core CPI and CPI data on June 10th, followed by Core PPI and PPI data on June 11th, along with Unemployment Claims, will provide a broader economic context that could influence overall market risk appetite and potentially interact with Solana's internal regime.

Indicator

Value

Variation

Broad Dollar Index

118.88

flat (7d)

US 10Y Yield

4.47%

flat (7d)

Fed Balance Sheet

$6711B

+$7,112M (7d)

M2 Money Supply

$22,805B

+$118.1B (1m)

Fear & Greed

8 (Extreme Fear)

-15 pts (7d)

Fear & Greed Index: Alternative.me

Solana Weekly Takeaway

Solana concluded the week in a regime characterized by significant price compression and pronounced deleveraging activity. The persistent underperformance against Bitcoin, coupled with elevated volatility and a clear bias towards long liquidations, suggests that leveraged participants have been actively reducing exposure. The contraction in Open Interest below its long-term baseline, alongside deeply negative funding rates, underscores a market where speculative conviction for upward movement has receded. This internal dynamic positions Solana as an asset currently navigating a period of structural re-evaluation by leveraged traders, distinct from broader market movements.

Disclaimer

This analytical article on Solana's market dynamics is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.

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