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CopyTradia Analysis History

Retrospective BTC/USDC

Period A → B: 1 June 2026 → 4 June 2026

PAIR

Verdict: Yes

Analysis A published on 1 June 2026 at 14:28 UTC

Analysis B published on 4 June 2026 at 14:58 UTC

What the market did before the next analysis

At the initial publication on June 1, BTC/USDC was trading around 73,600 USDC, below the weekly pivot of 74,685, and the Reading already saw the 72,200 – 72,400 support zone under attack. The daily session of June 1, still in progress at that point, ended around 71,400, below that zone. The decline then accelerated: the following sessions each closed markedly lower, around 66,700 and then around 64,100, with large bearish candles and sharply rising volume, with no pause or stabilizing rebound between them.

Price thus crossed the weekly S1 pivot (71,351) and then the 69,100 – 69,200 zone, where the weekly S2 pivot and the weekly EMA 200 of 69,233 cited by the Reading are located, before reaching a low of 61,342 USDC. At the next analysis on June 4, it stands around 63,900: far below the daily EMA 50 and EMA 200, with a daily RSI in extreme oversold territory, around 18, and a high daily ADX. In three sessions, the market went from a consolidation below 74,000 to a directional drop of about 12,000 USDC.

Chart comparison: Analysis A and Analysis B
Daily candles with the weekly pivots (R2, R1, P, S1, S2); price appears below the weekly pivot after the decline from the early-May high, and the figure accompanies the weekly levels cited in the reasoning.

Daily candles with the weekly pivots (R2, R1, P, S1, S2); price appears below the weekly pivot after the decline from the early-May high, and the figure accompanies the weekly levels cited in the reasoning.

4 June 2026 · Daily · Weekly pivots

4 June 2026 · Daily · Weekly pivots

Daily view with Bollinger bands, EMA 200, RSI, Stochastic, ADX and volumes: price sits at the bottom of the bands, below the EMA 200, with a low RSI and a rising ADX, elements on which the assessment of the Range/Rebound framework relies.

Daily view with Bollinger bands, EMA 200, RSI, Stochastic, ADX and volumes: price sits at the bottom of the bands, below the EMA 200, with a low RSI and a rising ADX, elements on which the assessment of the Range/Rebound framework relies.

4 June 2026 · Daily �· EMA 200 & Bollinger Bands

4 June 2026 · Daily · EMA 200 & Bollinger Bands

Daily view with a 20-period Donchian channel, EMA 50 and EMA 200: price is trading far below the top of the channel and below both moving averages, which supports the judgment that the Breakout framework is not plausible.

Daily view with a 20-period Donchian channel, EMA 50 and EMA 200: price is trading far below the top of the channel and below both moving averages, which supports the judgment that the Breakout framework is not plausible.

4 June 2026 · Daily · EMA 50/200 & Donchian channel

4 June 2026 · Daily · EMA 50/200 & Donchian channel

Daily view with EMA 50 and EMA 200, RSI, ADX and volumes: price drops below the EMA 50 after a series of lower highs, with a low RSI and a rising ADX, illustrating the structural and momentum signals of the Continuation framework.

Daily view with EMA 50 and EMA 200, RSI, ADX and volumes: price drops below the EMA 50 after a series of lower highs, with a low RSI and a rising ADX, illustrating the structural and momentum signals of the Continuation framework.

4 June 2026 · Daily · EMA 50/200

4 June 2026 · Daily · EMA 50/200

Market Reading verdict

Verdict: Yes

The Reading made the bearish continuation of the daily trend the framework that prevailed and placed the failure of the rebound at the 72,200 – 72,400 zone: it noted that the 4H had already broken the daily low and that the rebound thesis was failing, without treating it as settled before a daily close below that cluster. This framework made it possible to characterize the main move: a directional continuation of the decline, and not a stabilization or a reversal.

The condition the Reading gave was met in its exact terms, since the June 1 session ended below the 72,200 – 72,400 zone. The effect it attached to it, the end of any stabilization attempt and a clear continuation of the bearish trend, matches what the market did next: no stabilization, but a prolonged decline over the following sessions.

The Reading also designated, if the continuation went on, the long-term support near the weekly EMA 200 (69,233) as the next point of interest, noting that its approach could introduce friction and a reaction. Price did fall to that level, but crossed it with no visible pause on the daily chart, stopping at 61,342. The Reading did not promise a reaction and gave no reference level lower down: this limit does not change the characterization of the main move, established by the break of the 72,200 – 72,400 zone, but it bounds what the Reading made it possible to accompany, the direction and the first objective of the decline, not its magnitude.

Complementary charts
4H view with EMA 50, EMA 200, Bollinger bands, RSI and ADX: price extends its decline below the moving averages, with a very low RSI, which sheds light on the short-term oversold condition and the absence of a rebound mentioned for the resolution of the Range/Rebound framework.

4H view with EMA 50, EMA 200, Bollinger bands, RSI and ADX: price extends its decline below the moving averages, with a very low RSI, which sheds light on the short-term oversold condition and the absence of a rebound mentioned for the resolution of the Range/Rebound framework.

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btc-usdc-2026-06-01

Bitcoin Downtrend Analysis: Rebound Weakens, Bearish Continuation

BTC Weekly Technical Analysis: Bearish Continuation Takes Hold After Major Support Break

BTC/USDC

June 1, 2026 at 4:28:47 PM

June 4, 2026 at 4:58:05 PM

yes

At the initial publication on June 1, BTC/USDC was trading around 73,600 USDC, below the weekly pivot of 74,685, and the Reading already saw the 72,200 – 72,400 support zone under attack. The daily session of June 1, still in progress at that point, ended around 71,400, below that zone. The decline then accelerated: the following sessions each closed markedly lower, around 66,700 and then around 64,100, with large bearish candles and sharply rising volume, with no pause or stabilizing rebound between them.

Price thus crossed the weekly S1 pivot (71,351) and then the 69,100 – 69,200 zone, where the weekly S2 pivot and the weekly EMA 200 of 69,233 cited by the Reading are located, before reaching a low of 61,342 USDC. At the next analysis on June 4, it stands around 63,900: far below the daily EMA 50 and EMA 200, with a daily RSI in extreme oversold territory, around 18, and a high daily ADX. In three sessions, the market went from a consolidation below 74,000 to a directional drop of about 12,000 USDC.

The Reading made the bearish continuation of the daily trend the framework that prevailed and placed the failure of the rebound at the 72,200 – 72,400 zone: it noted that the 4H had already broken the daily low and that the rebound thesis was failing, without treating it as settled before a daily close below that cluster. This framework made it possible to characterize the main move: a directional continuation of the decline, and not a stabilization or a reversal.

The condition the Reading gave was met in its exact terms, since the June 1 session ended below the 72,200 – 72,400 zone. The effect it attached to it, the end of any stabilization attempt and a clear continuation of the bearish trend, matches what the market did next: no stabilization, but a prolonged decline over the following sessions.

The Reading also designated, if the continuation went on, the long-term support near the weekly EMA 200 (69,233) as the next point of interest, noting that its approach could introduce friction and a reaction. Price did fall to that level, but crossed it with no visible pause on the daily chart, stopping at 61,342. The Reading did not promise a reaction and gave no reference level lower down: this limit does not change the characterization of the main move, established by the break of the 72,200 – 72,400 zone, but it bounds what the Reading made it possible to accompany, the direction and the first objective of the decline, not its magnitude.

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